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宏观经济学研讨会 (总第209期)
发表日期:2016-10-12 作者:

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【ECON20161214】
宏观经济学研讨会
(总第209期)
 
【时间】2016年10月12日(周三)12:15-13:45
【地点】明商0302教室
【主讲】陈朴 中国人民大学经济学院副教授
【主题】The Trouble with Macroeconomics (P. Romer, The American Economist, 2016)
【摘要】For more than three decades, macroeconomics has gone backwards. The treatment of identification now is no more credible than in the early 1970s but escapes challenge because it is so much more opaque. Macroeconomic theorists dismiss mere facts by feigning an obtuse ignorance about such simple assertions as "tight monetary policy can cause a recession." Their models attribute fluctuations in aggregate variables to imaginar y causal forces that are not influenced by the action that any person takes. A parallel with string theory from physics hints at a general failure mode of science that is triggered when respect for highly regarded leaders evolves into a deference to authority that displaces objective fact from its position as the ultimate determinant of scientific truth.
【主持】陈彦斌 教授