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【ECON20151211】

宏观经济学研讨会

（总第184期）

【时间】2015年6月3日（周三）12：15－13：45

【地点】明商0202教室

【主讲】郭俊杰 中国人民大学汉青经济与金融高级研究院

【点评】周璇 中国人民大学经济学院助理教授  美国印第安纳大学经济学博士

【主题】Coordinating Expectations in Monetary Policy (written by Stephen Morris and Hyun Song Shin, Central Banks as Economic Institutions, 2008)

【摘要】In the middle of the twentieth century, there was an earlier attempt to use transparent communication to coordinate private sector expectations to socially efficient outcomes. It was called indicative planning. In the event, the plans did not always work as intended. Coordination was evidently more difficult to achieve than this. If coordination of expectations is possible, then it is a powerful force for good, as illustrated by the successes from increased transparency of central bank communication in the last fifteen years. But this powerful could - in some circumstances - be damaging. In this talk, we have tried to describe how taking expectations coordination seriously suggests when it could be damaging. In doing so, it offers some insights into what the limits to transparency should be.

【主持】陈彦斌 教授

人大宏观经济学研讨会（Macro Workshop）旨在追踪宏观经济学国际最新进展，倡导构建符合国情的动态优化模型，并使用计算机模拟研究经济增长、收入分配和宏观政策等中国宏观经济重大问题。

联系人：郭豫媚    Email：Macro_Workshop@163.com

资料下载：www.docin.com/mydoc-88265459-1.html

更多讲座信息请访问：econ.ruc.edu.cn，www.yanjiuyuan.com.cn

经济学院

中国经济改革与发展研究院