关键字：

 

【ECON20151207】

宏观经济学研讨会

（总第180期）

【时间】2015年5月6日（周三）12：15－13：45

【地点】明商0202教室

【主讲】林炜  中国人民大学经济学院

【主题】Good Booms, Bad Booms (written by Gary Gorton and Guillermo Ordonez, 2014)

【摘要】Credit booms usually precede financial crises. However, some credit booms end in a crisis (bad booms) and others do not (good booms). We document that, while all booms start with an increase in the growth of Total Factor Productivity (TFP) and Labor Productivity (LP), such growth falls much faster subsequently for bad booms. We then develop a simple framework to explain this. Firms finance investment opportunities with short-term collateralized debt. If agents do not produce information about the collateral quality, a credit boom develops, accommodating firms with lower quality projects and increasing the incentives of lenders to acquire information about the collateral, eventually triggering a crisis. When the average quality of investment opportunities also grow, the credit boom may not end in a crisis because the gradual adoption of low quality projects is not strong enough to induce information about collateral.

【主持】陈彦斌 教授

人大宏观经济学研讨会（Macro Workshop）旨在追踪宏观经济学国际最新进展，倡导构建符合国情的动态优化模型，并使用计算机模拟研究经济增长、收入分配和宏观政策等中国宏观经济重大问题。

联系人：郭豫媚    Email：Macro_Workshop@163.com

资料下载：www.docin.com/mydoc-88265459-1.html

更多讲座信息请访问：econ.ruc.edu.cn，www.yanjiuyuan.com.cn

经济学院

中国经济改革与发展研究院